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Let X(i) be iid random variables having cdf F.

Let R = sum 1(X(i) > X(i - 1)).

What is the distribuition of R?

E R = 1(X(i) > X(i - 1))Var R = Var sum 1(x(i) > x(i - 1)) = diagonal + upper + lower off diagonal

= int_{y > x} dF(x) dF(y)

= int_{-infty,infty} F(y) dF(y)

= F^2(y)/2|_infty^infty = 1/2

Var (1(x(i + 1) > x(i)) = 1/2 - 1/4 = 1/4.

Cov (1(x(i + 1) > x(i), 1(x(i) > x(i - 1)) = ?

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